[ba-poker] RE: [FARGO] Is 3:2 Enough? Thanks

["Bill Chen" <wchen_8369(deleted the rest)>]

Wait a minute. First you characterize C as the best local tournament
player at Foxwoods.  This was the assumption I based most of my analysis
on.  Now you are estimating that you are a better player than he is?
Which is it?

Secondly, even if B were to jam every hand blind once it got heads up,
you wouldn't have a 27% edge over him at this stage of the tourney.    I
like your 15% estimate better.   



Bill

-----Original Message-----
From: fargo-bounces(deleted the rest)
[mailto:fargo-bounces(deleted the rest)] On Behalf Of Steve Daniel
Sent: Saturday, January 31, 2004 10:35 PM
Cc: Barge Temporary; BayAreaPokerList; SouthernCaliforniaPokerList;
FARGO
Subject: [FARGO] Is 3:2 Enough? Thanks


I used the tool to explore several other issues.

This analysis does not take into account my estimate that I am a
slightly
better player than C and a significantly better player then B.  Using
the
assumption that your expectations are primarily a function of your stack
size I used skill factors to inflate or deflate the stack sizes after
this
hand is completed.

If I set my skill level to 1, and C's to 1 then what does my edge over B
have to be to make the EV of Calling = to the EV of Folding?  The answer
is
.73.   Am I 27% better than B.  Hard to tell from just limited time I
spent
playing against him




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