[ba-poker] Re: [FARGO] Is 3:2 Enough? Thanks

[Steve Daniel <stephen.daniel(deleted the rest)>]

C wins the most tournaments at Foxwoods because he plays all of them. (See Tom 
W's RGP Zog post a long time ago).  So I
would characterize him as the most experienced Weekly Foxwoods player. However, 
his success in the NEPC and WPF
tournaments over the years is less than one might expect given his weekly 
tournament success.  I have played against him
enough to see some exploitable flaws in his game.  I believe I am a better 
player than him had an edge which is greatest
in heads up play.

Crunch


Bill Chen wrote:

> Wait a minute. First you characterize C as the best local tournament
> player at Foxwoods.  This was the assumption I based most of my analysis
> on.  Now you are estimating that you are a better player than he is?
> Which is it?
>
> Secondly, even if B were to jam every hand blind once it got heads up,
> you wouldn't have a 27% edge over him at this stage of the tourney.    I
> like your 15% estimate better.
>
> Bill
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: fargo-bounces(deleted the rest)
> [mailto:fargo-bounces(deleted the rest)] On Behalf Of Steve Daniel
> Sent: Saturday, January 31, 2004 10:35 PM
> Cc: Barge Temporary; BayAreaPokerList; SouthernCaliforniaPokerList;
> FARGO
> Subject: [FARGO] Is 3:2 Enough? Thanks
>
> I used the tool to explore several other issues.
>
> This analysis does not take into account my estimate that I am a
> slightly
> better player than C and a significantly better player then B.  Using
> the
> assumption that your expectations are primarily a function of your stack
> size I used skill factors to inflate or deflate the stack sizes after
> this
> hand is completed.
>
> If I set my skill level to 1, and C's to 1 then what does my edge over B
> have to be to make the EV of Calling = to the EV of Folding?  The answer
> is
> .73.   Am I 27% better than B.  Hard to tell from just limited time I
> spent
> playing against him
>
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