Re: [ba-poker] Re: Re: [FARGO] Is 3:2 Enough? Thanks

[William Chen <wchen_8369(deleted the rest)>]

Math is hard.  But the BB has to have an incredible
hand to call.  

If the BB overcalls, two main things can happen: 

He loses, then his equity is third prize money 
He wins, then he has approx 60% of the chips.  We'll
say he has 60% of first, 40% of second. 

If he folds, he will have about 20% of the chips, some
of the time he will be in 2nd, some of the time there
will be a short stack of 10K left, so we can guess 20%
first, at most 10% third, 70% second.   

So he has to have around 60% equity vs the other two
hands toghether to call.  Only AA or KK are in this
category. 

Bill 


--- Andrew Prock <prock(deleted the rest)> wrote:
> On Mon, 2 Feb 2004, Jeffrey Siegal wrote:
> 
> > I don't remember the blind/stack details but I
> don't see how he could be
> > getting 5-1 unless the big blind was half his
> stack.
> 
> You're right, I can't tell my left foot from my
> nose.
> He was getting 2.7:1 odds.
> 
> Still juicy odds for quite a few hands.
> 
> - Andrew
> 
>