[ba-poker] Re: [BARGE] Math is hard, and sometimes harder to explain.

[William Chen <wchen_8369(deleted the rest)>]

Heh, assume the session is "sufficiently long."  

Or given that in N hands the chance of quads is 1/10,
what is the chance of quads twice in N hands as N
increases?

Bill 

--- Perry Friedman <friedman(deleted the rest)> wrote:
> Well, if the session is 1 hand, the chances are 0.
> If the session is 2 hands long, the chances are
> about 1 in 380 for quads
> twice and 0 for quads thrice.
> 
> I'll leave the rest as an exercise to the reader. 
> The important missing
> factor is the length of the session.
> 
> Perry
> 
> On Thu, 12 Feb 2004, William Chen wrote:
> 
> > Suppose in a particular game of poker for a
> particular
> > length session, the probability of you being dealt
> > four of a kind is 1/10.   Approximately what's the
> > chance that you get dealt 4 of a kind twice in the
> > same session?
> >
> > BTW, the answer is not 1/100--thee's a factor
> missing.
> >  What's the answer and give some intuition behind
> it.
> > What's the chance of being dealt quads thrice in
> the
> > session?
> >
> > Bill.
> >
> > ________
> > A big thank you to Paradise Poker and PokerStars,
> both of whom
> > have agreed to fully sponsor BARGE 2004!
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> helping us by
> > co-sponsoring BARGE 2003.
> >