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[ba-poker] Is 3:2 Enough - Help with a question
- To: SouthernCaliforniaPokerList <socal-poker(deleted the rest)>, BayAreaPokerList <ba-poker(deleted the rest)>, FARGO <fargo(deleted the rest)>, Barge Temporary <barge(deleted the rest)>
- Subject: [ba-poker] Is 3:2 Enough - Help with a question
- From: Steve Daniel <stephen.daniel(deleted the rest)>
- Date: Sat, 21 Feb 2004 11:45:25 -0500
I am continuing to work on a 3-Player pre-flop NLHE model and have stumbled
across an interesting question. When we are faced with an all-in call or
fold decision we (or at least I) have been thinking in terms of what is the
minimum hand who's estimated winning percent against the range of hand my
opponent may hold will yield a positive equity of calling.
For example, We may feel we need to be a 60% favorite against a random hand
so we should call with all hands better then A6s which would be 15.7% of all
hands.. However, if you compute the expected winning percent of all hands
A6s or better, the average winning percent is 65.6%. So perhaps the better
question is what is the minimum hand such that the expected winning percent
of all hands in that range will yield a positive equity of calling. In this
case if we need the average winning percent of the range of hands to be 60%
should call with the top 39.2% of hands which includes such puppies as Q5s,
K2s and T8s who's winning percents are down in the 52.6% range.
Comments Please
Crunch
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