There usually are more tournaments available right away. In fact, I suspect that some people go all in on the first hand regardless of content, then either bust out and go to another table, or start the now-9-8-or-7-handed tourney with a big stack compared to the rest of the players.
If I do it my way, and I finish in the money 75% of the time, and it's equally split among 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, the buyin is $11, 1st gets $50, 2nd pays $30, 3rd pays $20, so my expectation is (39*.25)+(19*.25)+(9*.25)-(11*.25)=+$14 [if I did that right] On those very rare occasions when I get AA in the first hand, is my expectation higher than $14 if I jam immediately?
I suppose the issue is, how big an advantage is it to have, say T1600 - T2400 when 7-9 others have T800, the blinds are 15-25 going up every 10 hands. Be aware that, before the first orbit is over and the blinds have risen even once, it's usually about 5-handed already, because others are going all-in with crap and losing. In other words, the big stack the first hand may not be much bigger than some other stacks after 10 hands.
Any thoughts on how to evaluate this?
----- Original Message ----- From: "Jeffrey Siegal" <jbs(deleted the rest)> To: "Michael Wiesenberg" <queueing(deleted the rest)> Cc: <ba-poker(deleted the rest)> Sent: Friday, March 19, 2004 5:06 PM Subject: Re: [ba-poker] RGPM: Moderator Selection - Call for Volunteers
> His argument is not that he won't win by playing the aces, but that > he'll win *even more* by folding. But you have to be careful with what > you mean by "more." In terms of winnings per tournament, it is > possible, in terms of winnings per hand (or per hour), it is almost > certainly not possible. > > So if you can go play another one right away, you should play the aces. > You might win a smaller percentage of the tournaments you play, but > this will be more than made up for by being able to play more of them. >