Re: [ba-poker] Folding AA preflop

["David S. Heller" <david(deleted the rest)>]

I think I fold.

If I fold, I almost guarantee fourth place, with 1 big stack and 3 small
ones (including mine) or better.  If one or both blinds call, I'm in the
money, where my equity is more than $20.  If everybody else calls (which
they probably do) I'll be in second place, equity over $30.

Right?

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Andrew Prock" <prock(deleted the rest)>
To: "Ming Lee" <mingmlee(deleted the rest)>
Cc: <ba-poker(deleted the rest)>
Sent: Saturday, March 20, 2004 12:07 PM
Subject: Re: [ba-poker] Folding AA preflop


> On Sat, 20 Mar 2004, Ming Lee wrote:
>
> > In Dave's scenario payouts are $50, $30, and $20.  Suppose everyone goes
> > all-in the first hand, he looks and sees AA in the BB.
> >
> > He calls and wins 30% of the time against 9 opponents.  His EV is $15.
>
> What happened to the other $50?  Shouldn't it be split across
> all the "second" place player, giving him an ev of $18.88 total?
>
> > If he folds (barring ties), there will be one remaining opponent and his
EV
> > is $30+
>
> Yep, still better to fold.
>
> How about this one: you've got AA on the button, UTG jams, everyone
> calls.
>
> Now do you call or fold?
>
> - Andrew
>
>